Bowl Pool Expected Values!
It's The Cottons vs The Zinger!
Syracuse Fails For Larry Lesley
Expected Value charts show your chances of winning or placing in the pool assumming each each of the remaining games is equally likely to go either way. The expected value averages out your winning chances (multiplied by the amount to win) with the losing chances to yield the current expected value of your pool entry.
I need to point out a key fact: In recent years, the leaders on these early expected value charts have NOT ended up doing that well.
Players and Payouts:
Check out the abbreviations for expectations and all-possibilities files here.
See Exact Chances:
Final Results if Tennessee Wins
Final Results if Florida State Wins
With 4 games to go:
The Final 16 Possibilities
(Final 2 possibilities are indicated in red)
With 8 games to go:
The Final 256 Possibilities
File is 256 lines, each 98 wide. (25K)
The all-possiblities files show every possible outcome of the pool and lists the top 8 finishers with their scores. All ties are automatically broken. After each game is finished, half the report may be deleted and the other half contains all the remaining outcome possibilities.